Those who watched the North Carolina Tar Heels in 2020 will remember the effectiveness of the running back tandem of Javonte Williams and Michael Carter. Fantasy players are well aware that Javonte Williams is on the 2022 fantasy football breakout shortlist, but what should they think of Carter this season? Carter had the fourth-most rushing yards among all fantasy football rookies last season (639) to go with 325 receiving yards. Carter was the starter on the New York Jets’ depth board in the preseason, but the team also drafted Breece Hall in the second round this year. A Strong 2022 fantasy football strategy will help you figure out which players in the crowded backgrounds make the most sense to choose. As you begin your preparation for the 2022 Fantasy Football Draft, be sure to check out SportsLine’s tried-and-true 2022 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets.
Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was significantly overvalued. He was drafted in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being a top-20 wide receiver. Jones ended up pulling off an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and a touchdown.
The same model has a proven track record in providing fantasy football advice, also identifying AJ Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as a fantasy football bust last season. He also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outplay his fantasy football ADP. Plus, he calls out former fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anyone who bet on players like these ran their league title .
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major fantasy sites, and it beat the human experts last season when there was a big difference in rankings. Projections are updated several times a day, so you always get the best fantasy football tips.
Now SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2022 fantasy football rankings, along with numerous sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head over to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2022 Fantasy Football Busts
One of the 2022 fantasy football busts the model predicts: Chiefs wide receiver Skyy Moore. After producing a 95-1292-10 stat line in his senior year at Western Michigan, Moore was drafted in the second round to serve on the committee seeking to fill the Tyreek Hill void. He will have plenty of competition for targets from more experienced players with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman all ahead of him on the depth chart.
Moore didn’t play catcher until college, so he’s still learning the job. He hasn’t been a big factor in the preseason, totaling just 23 yards, as his receptions and goals have dwindled every game. Moore has a 2022 11th round fantasy football ADP, but projects as someone who won’t have much fantasy impact as a rookie. The SportsLine model has fellow rookies Chris Olave and Jahan Dotson ahead of Moore in his 2022 fantasy football rankings, though those two have later ADPs.
Another bust that SportsLine’s 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings has identified: Bills rookie running back James Cook. His bust potential is stymied by the likelihood that Buffalo will go for a three-headed monster approach with Zack Moss, Devin Singletary and Cook in a pass-heavy offense where quarterback Josh Allen also runs. Even though Cook looked strong in the preseason, Moss gained 13 more yards on the same tally of seven carries apiece.
Moss’ physical running style also makes him the presumed goal line, as Cook is more likely to interrupt splatter plays, which will inevitably give headaches to Fantasy players trying to predict. Those targeting Cook are betting on the likelihood that his all-around use will make him the de facto starter in terms of overall production. The model projects that Cook’s breakout is more likely a year from now, and this season others who are drafted after him, like fellow rookie Tyler Allgeier, will have stronger campaigns. Find out here which other Fantasy football 2022 busts to avoid.
How to find the proven 2022 fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely weak on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average on 2022 fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside of its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects that that he is experiencing a major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is and the 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings for each player, on SportsLine.
So which Fantasy Football 2022 breakouts should you aim for? And which RB won’t live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now for Fantasy Football 2022 cheat sheets for every position, all from the model who told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.